Now, we all know that foreign investments will dry up.

ZEE BUSINESS BEST B SCHOOL SURVEY

FDI: China habitually gets more than $150 billion in foreign direct investments every year. As a percentage of GDP, it hovers between 7% to 10%. In sharp contrast, Indian policy makers start whooping with joy when FDI crosses $20 billion. Not to mention that FDI has almost never exceeded even 0.5% of GDP. Now, we all know that foreign investments will dry up. But since most of India’s GDP growth has been driven by domestic investment, we will be the least adversely affected. Let’s say FDI inflow declines by a whopping 50% or about $10 billion. That works out to one-tenth of one percent of GDP. Do your own maths!

EXPORTS: There are horror stories floating around of how hundreds of thousands of jobs are being lost because exports are slowing down and declining. A recent government survey says that half a million jobs were lost in the last quarter of 2008 because of contracting exports. Half a million jobs gone is bad news indeed. But compare that with an admission by the Chinese government (A government that is loathe to admit anything!) that 20 million jobs were lost in the same period and you suddenly get a fresh perspective on where India stands compared to other nations. Also remember, exports from India still hover around 15% of GDP, one of the lowest figures among major economies in the world.


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Source : IIPM Editorial, 2008
An Initiative of IIPM, Malay Chaudhuri and Arindam Chaudhuri (Renowned Management Guru and Economist).


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